Kalshi vs Novig
Two U.S. CFTC-regulated venues for dollar event contracts. Kalshi is a multi-category exchange (sports plus economics, weather, politics, and more). Novig (Ludlow Exchange) is sports-first peer-to-peer. ChanceWire shows Not listed for live quotes on both until partnerships or licenses land — soft browse CTAs only.
No invented odds · Verify state eligibility · Not a sportsbook tip sheet · Soft CTAs both sides
| Dimension | Kalshi | Novig |
|---|---|---|
| Regulator path | CFTC DCM | CFTC DCM (Ludlow Exchange, LLC) |
| Focus | Multi-category event contracts | Sports event contracts (P2P) |
| Age | 18+ | 21+ |
| Geo snapshot | Category × state geofences; sports contested in several states — VERIFY | Nationwide except AZ, MI, NV (physical location; Help Sep 2026) |
| Odds on ChanceWire | Not listed | Not listed |
| CTA on ChanceWire | Soft | Soft |
Not listed means we are not displaying Kalshi or Novig mid-prices — not that either venue is closed.
| At a glance | Kalshi | Novig |
|---|---|---|
| Tagline | CFTC-regulated event contracts for US traders | CFTC-regulated sports prediction market (Ludlow Exchange) |
| Regions | United States (regulated) | Widely available in the US except AZ, MI, and NV (per public help/coverage as of Sep 2026); eligibility by physical location |
| Assets | USD | USD |
| Fees | Exchange fees per contract; see Kalshi fee schedule | Peer-to-peer event contracts; check Novig for current fee/spread details |
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Who each is for
Kalshi — U.S. traders who want one regulated venue spanning sports and non-sports event contracts (economics, weather, politics, culture), accepting that sports availability varies by state.
Novig — U.S. sports traders 21+ outside AZ, MI, and NV who want a peer-to-peer sports exchange framing rather than a multi-category general events book.
Neither side should promise “better odds” — ChanceWire is not displaying either book’s live mids yet.
Fees & UX
Both: confirm fee and spread schedules on the operator sites. Soft language only — exchange / peer-to-peer event-contract economics differ from sportsbook vig models. We do not invent percentages.
Eligibility callouts
Verify on operator Help and the living CTA eligibility matrix — ChanceWire does not hardcode a 50-state green/red list from blogs.
- Kalshi AgeGate: 18+; soft-suppress sports CTAs in known blocked or enjoined states when geo is known — VERIFY matrix.
- Novig: 21+ required (or suppress CTA); soft-suppress AZ, MI, NV when geo is known.
- Never advise VPN or location spoofing.
Odds on ChanceWire
No side-by-side odds table with filled cells. Optional empty compare skeleton with Not listed badges only — never invent mids.
Soft comparison only. 18+ / 21+ where required. Risk of loss. Informational only — not advice.