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Poly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.

Platforms

High-level overviews of major prediction-market venues. Live mid-prices on ChanceWire are Polymarket-only; Kalshi and Novig stay Not listed until written authorization. Availability, fees, and rules change — always verify on the platform before depositing.

PolymarketPolymarket

Largest crypto prediction market by volume

Live quotes: Live

Regions: Global (geo restrictions apply); US residents typically restricted

KalshiKalshi

CFTC-regulated event contracts for US traders

Live quotes: Not listedSoft CTA

Regions: United States (regulated)

PredictItPredictIt

Long-running academic-affiliated political markets

Live quotes: Thin / match-dependentSoft CTA

Regions: Primarily US (with account limits)

NovigNovig

CFTC-regulated sports prediction market (Ludlow Exchange)

Live quotes: Not listedSoft CTA

Regions: Widely available in the US except AZ, MI, and NV (per public help/coverage as of Sep 2026); eligibility by physical location

Profiles enriched from Platforms Scout page-templates (19 Sep 2026). No invented affiliate rates or state eligibility matrices — VERIFY operator Help and the living CTA matrix. Soft CTAs for Kalshi, Novig, and PredictIt preserve SoftCtaBlock. Public URLs remain /platforms/* and /compare/* only (no /venues fork).