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Poly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.

PredictIt

PredictIt is a long-running U.S. politics prediction market with academic and research branding. ChanceWire may show thin politics quotes when titles match; otherwise Not listed. This is a soft / research CTA — not a cash affiliate push.

PredictItPredictItLive quotes: Thin / match-dependentSoft CTA

At a glance

Regions
Primarily US (with account limits)
Assets
USD
Fees
Fees on profits and withdrawals; position limits apply

Highlights

  • Familiar political market brand
  • USD-based
  • Useful for historical price series on elections

Caveats

  • Position and loss limits
  • Fewer markets than Polymarket
  • Fee structure can be material for active traders

What it is

Almost exclusively U.S. politics and elections. Useful for midterm SEO and historical political price series. Liquidity is typically thinner than Kalshi or Polymarket. Position caps and fees matter for active traders — verify live.

Categories

U.S. politics and elections (near-exclusive).

Fees & UX

Fee and position-cap details change — verify on PredictIt before publishing exact percentages or caps elsewhere. USD; classic web-first UI.

Geo & age

18+. U.S. Persons only per ToS. Third-party reviews often describe broad state access for persons (no sportsbook-style matrix) — still verify live.

Odds on ChanceWire

Optional thin match on politics market pages via public JSON; otherwise Not listed. We never invent a politics mid-price to fill empty cells.

Research / soft CTA. Fees and caps — verify on PredictIt. 18+. Risk of loss.

Eligibility and fees change — verify on the venue and see how geo gates work, fees compared, and affiliate disclosure. Sources refreshed 19 September 2026 (Asia/Nicosia).

Compare

  • Polymarket vs PredictItOn-chain depth and breadth versus PredictIt’s classic U.S. politics markets. Live Polymarket; PredictIt thin/match-dependent.
  • Kalshi vs PredictItTwo USD-oriented U.S. options with different regulation and catalogs. Soft CTAs; Kalshi odds Not listed.