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Poly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.

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Kalshi vs PredictIt

Two USD-oriented U.S. options with different regulation and market catalogs. Both use soft CTAs on ChanceWire; Kalshi live quotes stay Not listed until license. PredictIt may show thin politics matches only.

KalshivsPredictIt

Partner disclosure · Verify fees & eligibility yourself · Not advice. Live mid-prices on ChanceWire remain Polymarket-only; Kalshi/Novig stay Not listed until written authorization.

CriterionKalshiPredictIt
TaglineCFTC-regulated event contracts for US tradersLong-running academic-affiliated political markets
RegionsUnited States (regulated)Primarily US (with account limits)
AssetsUSDUSD
FeesExchange fees per contract; see Kalshi fee scheduleFees on profits and withdrawals; position limits apply
ProductCFTC DCM event contractsPolitics markets (research framing)
Age18+18+
Odds on ChanceWireNot listedThin / match-dependent
CTA on ChanceWireSoftSoft / research
Highlights
  • CFTC-regulated exchange
  • USD deposits and withdrawals
  • Strong coverage of economics and weather contracts
  • Familiar political market brand
  • USD-based
  • Useful for historical price series on elections
Caveats
  • US-focused; limited international access
  • Market catalog narrower than crypto venues
  • Contract sizes and fee structure differ from crypto books
  • Position and loss limits
  • Fewer markets than Polymarket
  • Fee structure can be material for active traders

Kalshi Not listed means we are not displaying live Kalshi mid-prices — not that Kalshi is closed.

Who each is for

Kalshi — Multi-category USD event contracts with state and category geofencing — VERIFY sports availability in-product.

PredictIt — Politics-heavy markets with position caps and a distinct fee structure — VERIFY live.

Fees & UX

Confirm fee schedules and caps on each operator site. We do not invent percentages.

Eligibility callouts

Verify on operator Help and the living CTA eligibility matrix — ChanceWire does not hardcode a 50-state green/red list from blogs.

  • Kalshi: 18+; soft-suppress sports CTAs for known blocked states when geo is known — VERIFY matrix.
  • PredictIt: U.S. Persons; 18+.
  • Never advise VPN or location spoofing.

Odds on ChanceWire

Kalshi Not listed means we are not displaying live Kalshi mid-prices. PredictIt thin match only — never invent mids.

Soft comparison only. 18+. Risk of loss. Informational only — not advice.

See how geo gates work, fees compared, and affiliate disclosure. Sources refreshed 19 September 2026 (Asia/Nicosia).

Kalshi profilePredictIt profile