Markets
Loading active Polymarket events…
Poly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
Meet PolyLoading active Polymarket events…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds + context



Headline 1 of 2: DTCC launches tokenization service putting $30 trillion on blockchain
Where to trade
Polymarket is the live partner CTA (AgeGate + tracked /r). Kalshi and Novig stay SoftCta / Not listed until written deals — we never invent odds.
Compare venues · CTA when AgeGate clears
Polymarket live · others SoftCta / Not listed — no invented prices
Leading: December 31, 2027
Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch · KXGTA6SONGS-30
Market change · 24h
-1.0 pts
Yes probability vs ~24h ago (Polymarket CLOB)
Yes probability over time
Updated 4 Nov, 18:32 EEST
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.0%Lead | — | -1.0pp | $629.6K $19.2K liq | ||
| Not listed | |||||
| No match yet | |||||
| Not listed | |||||