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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $500B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is DefiLlama’s Total Stablecoins page, available at: https://defillama.com/stablecoins A data point on the DefiLlama chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
Odds + context
Headline 1 of 6: JPMorgan Sees Stablecoin Market Hitting $500B by 2028, Far Below Bullish Forecasts
Where to trade
Polymarket is the live partner CTA (AgeGate + tracked /r). Kalshi and Novig stay SoftCta / Not listed until written deals — we never invent odds.
Compare venues · CTA when AgeGate clears
Polymarket live · others SoftCta / Not listed — no invented prices
Market change · 24h
+0.0 pts
Yes probability vs ~24h ago (Polymarket CLOB)
Yes probability over time
Updated 4 Nov, 18:33 EEST
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3% | 95.8% | 0.0pp | $605.5K $5.0K liq | ||
| No match yet | |||||
| No match yet | |||||
| Not listed | |||||