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Meet PolyPoly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
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PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Odds + context
Headline 1 of 6: US measles cases top 4,800 as the disease surges in multiple states
Where to trade
Polymarket is the live partner CTA (AgeGate + tracked /r). Kalshi and Novig stay SoftCta / Not listed until written deals — we never invent odds.
Compare venues · CTA when AgeGate clears
Polymarket live · others SoftCta / Not listed — no invented prices
Leading: ↑3.5k
Market change · 24h
No 24h history yet — we never invent a Δ.
Yes probability over time
Updated 4 Nov, 18:36 EEST
Polymarket CLOB returned no price series for this interval — we never invent a chart.
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leading: ↑3.5k | 100.0%Lead | — | — | $8.22M $18.9K liq | |
| No match yet | ||||
| No match yet | ||||
| Not listed | ||||
