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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds + context
External headlines · matched to this market
Yes probability over time
Updated 20 Sept, 15:45 EEST
Polymarket CLOB returned no price series for this interval — we never invent a chart.
Same event across venues
Unmatched venues show Not listed — no invented prices
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% | 100.0% | — | $68.57M $1.20M liq | ||
| Not listed | |||||
| No match yet | |||||
Trump directs US government to prepare release of files on aliens and UFOs
BBC
| Not listed | |||||