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PolymarketA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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Yes probability over time
Updated 20 Sept, 15:01 EEST
Same event across venues
Unmatched venues show Not listed — no invented prices
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1% | 100.0% | 0.0pp | $151.89M $19.26M liq | |
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Brazil’s Lula announces welfare increases ahead of presidential election
Al Jazeera
| Not listed |
 Brazil presidential election winner? · Lula | 48.0% | 56.0% | 0.0pp | — — liq |
 | Not listed | ||||