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Poly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
Meet PolyPoly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
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PolymarketThis market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Odds + context
External headlines · matched to this market
Yes probability over time
Updated 20 Sept, 15:45 EEST
Same event across venues
Unmatched venues show Not listed — no invented prices
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1% | 100.0% | 0.0pp | $41.14M $6.50M liq | |
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Xavier Becerra gets to play it safe in the race for governor, and he isn’t making promises
CalMatters
| Not listed |
 California governor winner? · Becerra | 95.0% | 5.0% | 0.0pp | — — liq |
 | Not listed | ||||