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Poly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
Meet PolyPoly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
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PolymarketThe 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Odds + context
Headline 1 of 6: Gamble on democracy: Inside suspicious election-contracts trading on prediction markets
Where to trade
Polymarket is the live partner CTA (AgeGate + tracked /r). Kalshi and Novig stay SoftCta / Not listed until written deals — we never invent odds.
Compare venues · CTA when AgeGate clears
Polymarket live · others SoftCta / Not listed — no invented prices
Leading: Nithya Raman
Los Angeles Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030 · KXCITYCHAMPS-LA30JUL01LCRCDAKD
Market change · 24h
-1.0 pts
Yes probability vs ~24h ago (Polymarket CLOB)
Yes probability over time
Updated 4 Nov, 18:36 EEST
Los Angeles mayoral election winner? · Raman
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leading: Nithya Raman | 99.0%Lead | — | -1.0pp | $17.91M $116.8K liq | |
| Los Angeles Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030 · KXCITYCHAMPS-LA30JUL01LCRCDAKD | Not listed | ||||
| Los Angeles mayoral election winner? · Raman | 97.0% | 3.0% | +5.0pp | — — liq | |
| Not listed | ||||
