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Poly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
Meet PolyPoly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
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PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Odds + context
Headline 1 of 6: Pezeshkian: Mojtaba Khamenei Authorized Government to Negotiate With U.S.
Where to trade
Polymarket is the live partner CTA (AgeGate + tracked /r). Kalshi and Novig stay SoftCta / Not listed until written deals — we never invent odds.
Compare venues · CTA when AgeGate clears
Polymarket live · others SoftCta / Not listed — no invented prices
Leading: December 31
Market change · 24h
No 24h history yet — we never invent a Δ.
Yes probability over time
Updated 4 Nov, 18:34 EEST
Polymarket CLOB returned no price series for this interval — we never invent a chart.
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leading: December 31 | 11.5%Lead | — | — | $7.55M $23.4K liq | |
| No match yet | ||||
| No match yet | ||||
| Not listed | ||||
