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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds + context





Headline 1 of 6: Trump doubles down after waiving new Russia sanctions, calling it a ‘very good decision’
Where to trade
Polymarket is the live partner CTA (AgeGate + tracked /r). Kalshi and Novig stay SoftCta / Not listed until written deals — we never invent odds.
Compare venues · CTA when AgeGate clears
Polymarket live · others SoftCta / Not listed — no invented prices
Leading: June 30, 2027
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? · KXWARSHOUT-26JUL
Market change · 24h
+0.3 pts
Yes probability vs ~24h ago (Polymarket CLOB)
Yes probability over time
Updated 4 Nov, 18:36 EEST
Katie Wilson out in 2026? · Katie Wilson out in 2026?
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5%Lead | — | +0.3pp | $31.60M $758.6K liq | ||
| Not listed | |||||
| 2.0% | 98.0% | 0.0pp | — — liq | ||
| Not listed | |||||