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Poly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
Meet PolyPoly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
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PolymarketThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Odds + context
External headlines · matched to this market
Yes probability over time
Updated 20 Sept, 15:01 EEST
Same event across venues
Unmatched venues show Not listed — no invented prices
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1% | 98.0% | 0.0pp | $706.51M $51.97M liq | |
 |
New 2028 poll shows a tight Democratic primary, clear GOP leader
USA Today
| Not listed |
 Republican presidential nominee in 2028? · Vance | 45.0% | 55.0% | 0.0pp | — — liq |
 | Not listed | ||||