Markets
Loading active Polymarket events…
Poly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
Meet PolyPoly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
Meet PolyLoading active Polymarket events…
Ask PolyGuides & compare
PolymarketThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Odds + context
Headline 1 of 6: The 2028 Presidential Race Is About to Begin
Where to trade
Polymarket is the live partner CTA (AgeGate + tracked /r). Kalshi and Novig stay SoftCta / Not listed until written deals — we never invent odds.
Compare venues · CTA when AgeGate clears
Polymarket live · others SoftCta / Not listed — no invented prices
Leading: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
When will Ukraine hold a presidential election? · KXELECTUKRAINE-30JAN01
Market change · 24h
+0.1 pts
Yes probability vs ~24h ago (Polymarket CLOB)
Yes probability over time
Updated 4 Nov, 17:43 EEST
Republican presidential nominee in 2028? · Vance
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leading: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 49.0%Lead | — | +0.1pp | $724.50M $33.26M liq | |
| When will Ukraine hold a presidential election? · KXELECTUKRAINE-30JAN01 | Not listed | ||||
| Republican presidential nominee in 2028? · Vance | 26.0% | 74.0% | -6.0pp | — — liq | |
| Not listed | ||||
