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On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unan…
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Headline 1 of 6: Live Updates: Iran's supreme leader warns U.S., Israel against new attacks
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Polymarket is the live partner CTA (AgeGate + tracked /r). Kalshi and Novig stay SoftCta / Not listed until written deals — we never invent odds.
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Leading: March 31
US unemployment rate at year-end 2036 · KXU3EOY-37JAN09
Market change · 24h
No 24h history yet — we never invent a Δ.
Yes probability over time
Updated 4 Nov, 18:36 EEST
Polymarket CLOB returned no price series for this interval — we never invent a chart.
Warnock and Ossoff in office thru 12/31? · Warnock and Ossoff in office thru 12/31?
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63.5%Lead | — | — | $45.10M $445.8K liq | ||
| Not listed | |||||
| 96.0% | 4.0% | 0.0pp | — — liq | ||
| Not listed | |||||