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Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds + context




Headline 1 of 6: Israeli officials say elections will stand after Netanyahu claimed Arabs stole vote
Where to trade
Polymarket is the live partner CTA (AgeGate + tracked /r). Kalshi and Novig stay SoftCta / Not listed until written deals — we never invent odds.
Compare venues · CTA when AgeGate clears
Polymarket live · others SoftCta / Not listed — no invented prices
Leading: Gadi Eizenkot
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · KXAUSTPM-28SEP23
Market change · 24h
-2.6 pts
Yes probability vs ~24h ago (Polymarket CLOB)
Yes probability over time
Updated 4 Nov, 17:43 EEST
Next Israeli prime minister? · Katz
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.7%Lead | — | -2.6pp | $85.63M $3.29M liq | ||
| Not listed | |||||
| 1.0% | 99.0% | 0.0pp | — — liq | ||
| Not listed | |||||