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PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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Yes probability over time
Updated 20 Sept, 15:46 EEST
Polymarket CLOB returned no price series for this interval — we never invent a chart.
Same event across venues
Unmatched venues show Not listed — no invented prices
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% | 100.0% | — | $14.20M $54.2K liq | |
 | Not listed | ||||
 | No match yet | ||||
Who is running Venezuela after US forces seized Maduro?
BBC
What Trump's Attack on Venezuela Means for the Region and the World
Chicago Council on Global Affairs
 | Not listed | ||||