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Poly Chance: Scan volume first, then open a category. Prices are implied probabilities — not guarantees. Start with the reading guide if this is new.
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PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds + context
Headline 1 of 6: Taipei Says China’s Fifth Plenum Shows One-Party Rule Tightening as Taiwan’s Democracy Debates Openly
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Polymarket is the live partner CTA (AgeGate + tracked /r). Kalshi and Novig stay SoftCta / Not listed until written deals — we never invent odds.
Compare venues · CTA when AgeGate clears
Polymarket live · others SoftCta / Not listed — no invented prices
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? · KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01
Market change · 24h
+0.0 pts
Yes probability vs ~24h ago (Polymarket CLOB)
Yes probability over time
Updated 4 Nov, 18:33 EEST
Any impeachment articles before 2027? · Any impeachment articles before 2027?
| Platform | Yes | No | 24h | Vol / Liq | CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9% | 98.0% | 0.0pp | $16.88M $321.5K liq | |
| Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? · KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01 | Not listed | ||||
| Any impeachment articles before 2027? · Any impeachment articles before 2027? | 14.0% | 86.0% | -4.0pp | — — liq | |
| Not listed | ||||
